Baseball Betting Tips – Wild, Wild (AL) West
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- Category: Baseball Betting Tutorials
- Created: Sunday, 20 September 2015 14:46
At the end of July, the Houston Astros took over first place in the AL West Division. About a week earlier, they just acquired starting pitcher Scott Kazmir from the Oakland Athletics in one of the bigger trade-deadline deals. Things were looking up for a team that finished 22 games under .500 a season ago.
The Astros maintained that lead in the AL West all the way until this past Tuesday, when a walk-off sacrifice fly by Mitch Moreland gave Texas a 6-5 victory over the visiting Astros and gave the Rangers a half-game lead in the division.
Houston has lost nine of their last 13 games overall heading into Wednesday night, with six of those defeats coming as favorite. Blindly backing the Astros in that span would have an MLB bettor down 8.2 units.
Meanwhile, Texas has surged over the past month, going 22-10 to take the division lead after starting the month of August in third place (and eight games behind Houston). Seven of those victories came in the underdog role, and Texas backed are up 11.9 units during that run.
(For these profit/loss numbers we assume wagering one unit when listed as the underdog, and laying the juice to earn one unit when listed as a favorite).
There are still two more games in Texas for this series, so the Astros could regain first place by series end. But if they leave Texas in second place it could have a lasting effect on this team’s confidence as we finish up the last three weeks of the season.
The Rangers have won 10 of the 14 meetings between these teams this season, including a 6-2 record at home. That includes five consecutive home wins in this series, and that 10-4 season record is the main reason Texas has the lead in the AL West at this point.
The mlb baseball betting shops now have Houston and Texas dead even at +500 to win the American League Pennant, and the Rangers have better odds to win the World Series at 10:1 while Houston is listed as a 12:1 underdog.
After the final two games of this series, there is another three-game set in Houston for the final games between these two teams. Keep an eye on how both teams are streaking as we enter that series, and if Houston’s free fall continues we could get some excellent line value fading them down the stretch of the regular season.
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