The Unwritten Rules for Betting on the NFL Preseason

Details: Category: NFL Betting Tutorial; Created: Monday, 05 August 2024 08:19

The NFL Preseason is finally here giving NFL fans and gamblers a preview of what is to come. However, betting on the NFL preseason is very different from the regular NFL season which means different strategies are necessary. Thus, we present the Unwritten Rules for Betting on the NFL Preseason to help bettors maximize their NFL betting profits.

There are many NFL Preseason strategies that are useful and can lead to a good round of NFL preseason betting. However, there are certain Unwritten Rules for Betting on the NFL Preseason that players need to follow. This is because while chaotic, the preseason always observes certain standards of play from team.

Furthermore, the football preseason is just different than the regular football season. In turn, wagering on preseason matches presents a unique challenge compared to wagering on regular season games. Preseason games are essentially practice games that do not impact the official standings, so teams prioritize player development and injury prevention over winning these informal matchups.

Hence, just because a strong player playing in an NFL preseason game does not mean they will play at 100%. In most cases, this is just a rehearsal for them and will only play at 55% as they do not want to get an injury. In addition, during preseason games, offenses often appear awkward as teams incorporate new players and experiment with different strategies. Additionally, teams typically adopt conservative offensive approaches in the preseason to minimize the risk of injuries and reserve their most effective plays for the regular season.

The Unwritten Rules for Betting on the NFL Preseason – The Do’s

Do Bet on the Underdogs - Preseason underdogs in the +1 to +3 range have a strong track record, going 149-102 against the spread. According to Pay Per Head sportsbook NFL Analytics, It's a relatively safe trend to support the underdogs. Especially since the home-field advantage doesn't carry much weight in the preseason.

The Unwritten Rules for Betting on the NFL Preseason – The Do’s Furthermore, there are a lot of variables in predicting a true underdog during the NFL preseason. There are things like coaching motivations and player availability, accurately predicting a true underdog is a challenging task. Thus, it is difficult for even the top sportsbooks to create accurate underdog lines which can be advantageous for bettor.

Do Bet Live Betting - This could potentially be the most enjoyable (and profitable) method of wagering on these insignificant matches. Consider the Hall of Fame game, for instance. The Jets defense allowed lengthy touchdown drives, orchestrated by Browns QBs Kellen Mond and [checks notes] Dorian Thompson-Robinson. Despite Cleveland still being behind by two points in the third quarter, I felt confident about the Browns’ third-string QBs outperforming their Jets counterparts for the rest of the game.

Waiting to place bets on the second halves of games until after observing the backup players in action for even just a few series can lead you to valuable live bets and maintain high levels of dopamine throughout the fourth quarter.

Do take Advantage of NFL Preseason Promotions – The NFL preseason is important as bookies are using the NFL preseason to their sportsbook ready for the regular season.For example, BetOnline.ag is having a $300,000 NFL survivor contest to entice current and new players to bet with them.

Do Pay Attention to the Quarterback Rotation - Betting on preseason games requires careful consideration of the quarterback rotation and skill players available. To anticipate game flow, I create QB charts outlining when each quarterback is likely to play. This helps me pinpoint opportunities where one team's offense may excel, allowing me to make informed spread bets. Additionally, I assess whether both offenses will contribute to high or low scoring, guiding my total bets accordingly.

The Unwritten Rules for Betting on the NFL Preseason – The Don’ts

Don’t Bet on a Full game – Betting on a full game during the NFL preseason is generally a bad idea for 2 reasons. The first is because you have to watch the full game and let’s be honest, the NFL preseason can be boring to watch. The second reasoning is that bettors can’t even guess what will happen in the fourth quarter of a preseason game. This is because you do not know if the team is even trying to win the game.
Do not Make Large Wagers Casually – Sharp bettors frequently place large bets during the preseason. This is due to the increased inefficiency of the lines caused by the lack of reliable information on player availability. This results in lower wager limits compared to the regular season. Therefore, those who have a well-researched model or dedicate significant time to gathering relevant data can find valuable opportunities for profit.

Bonus NFL Preseason Betting Tip – Bet on the Baltimore Ravens for the 2024 NFL Preseason

There is enduring merit in placing bets on John Harbaugh's Ravens during the preseason. Over the first 15 years of the Harbaugh era, Baltimore has achieved a remarkable record of 43 wins and 12 losses straight up, along with a 38-16-1 record against the spread in preseason games.

The NFL betting markets appear to have recognized Baltimore's consistent success in the preseason, as evidenced by the Ravens being significant favorites at -4.5 against the Eagles in Week 1 of the preseason. Nevertheless, we remain resolute in our belief for this strategy. We trust Harbaugh and his backup quarterbacks, Tyler Huntley and Josh Johnson, to uphold the Ravens' dominance in August.

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